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Kommentar: Der hohe Ölpreis könnte die nächste Inflationswelle auslösen

Die Lieferketten am Ölmarkt sind fragil. Einmal gestört, sind die Folgen nur schwer zu beheben. Trotzdem unterschätzen viele Notenbanken die Inflationsgefahr noch immer.

Kommentar: Der hohe Ölpreis könnte die nächste Inflationswelle auslösen

Oil market sentiment has shifted dramatically in recent weeks, as analysts and experts struggle to explain the slow reaction of crude oil prices to the Iran war and the Hormuz Strait blockade. While Brent crude prices surged to around $120 per barrel within days of the conflict, the increase was relatively modest compared to the shock following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. However, experts are now questioning why oil prices have not fallen, despite governments and markets taking various measures to lower them.

Attempts to reduce oil and fuel prices, such as the International Energy Agency releasing fuel reserves or a politically contentious U.S.-Russia diesel deal, have largely had limited impact. It appears that the very factor that mitigated the initial oil price shock is now preventing prices from recovering. Markets have become more flexible in response to a range of demand and supply shocks, from the COVID-19 pandemic to the Ukraine war, and have even established alternative transportation routes around the Hormuz Strait faster than experts initially thought possible.

Written by urgent.news from Handelsblatt's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

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