This Is the Most Powerful Contributing Factor to Warren Buffett's Success -- and History Proves It Works
Key PointsIf Berkshire Hathaway shares fell by 99% today, they would still match the overall market’s performance over the past six decades.
Warren Buffett's investing success can be attributed to one powerful factor: compounding. This principle, as highlighted by Michael Batnick on X on September 22, shows that even if Berkshire Hathaway's share price were to fall by 99%, it would still match the S&P 500's performance over six decades. The concept of compounding is simple yet potent: returns generated in one year generate further returns in subsequent years.
For instance, a $10,000 investment growing at 15% annually would be worth $662,000 after 30 years, with about half of the growth occurring in the final five years.
Buffett, of course, knows the importance of compounding in the long run. About 99% of his $151 billion net worth was accumulated after his 65th birthday. Two quotes attributed to Charlie Munger, Buffett's associate, underscore the importance of patience in this process. Munger once said, "The big money is not in the buying or selling, but in the waiting," emphasizing that the real money comes from holding onto investments long-term.
He also suggested, "The first rule of compounding is to never interrupt it unnecessarily," highlighting the need to avoid disrupting this process unnecessarily.
This strategy requires investors to stay the course, as markets are prone to fluctuations, with bear markets occurring roughly every six years. Since 1980, 5% drops have been nearly a yearly occurrence. However, the key to success lies in avoiding emotional reactions during market downturns, a concept known as dollar-cost averaging, where investors consistently add capital to their portfolio during both up and down markets.
The real magic happens with patience, a trait that Buffett and Munger exemplify. While not everyone may possess their stock-picking prowess, emulating their philosophy of allowing compounding to work its magic can lead to exceptional long-term returns.
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