Democrats gain ground with AAPI adults as trust in Republicans fades, AP-NORC/AAPI Data poll finds

Texas Democrats see a rare opportunity to gain ground in the November midterm elections as voter dissatisfaction with the Republican Party mounts. After three decades of Republican dominance, recent polls suggest that Texas Republicans may face a tougher challenge than expected. At the forefront of the Democratic effort is James Talarico, a 37-year-old former teacher and state lawmaker who emphasizes Christian faith, economic populism, and unity.

A University of Texas poll released this week has Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton by 50% to 47%, with a separate UMass Lowell poll indicating a tie.

Talarico's candidacy has attracted independence and Republican voters disillusioned with former President Donald Trump, who campaigned aggressively for Paxton during a recent rally in San Antonio. Trump warned that losing the Senate seat could jeopardize the Republicans' narrow majority, mocking Talarico as "Talafreako" and accusing Democrats of wanting to open the country's borders.

Paxton, the state's attorney general and a staunch Trump ally, has faced controversy, including an impeachment by the Republican-controlled Texas House in 2023 over corruption allegations. Despite this, Trump backed Paxton over incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the primary battle. Talarico, a Presbyterian seminarian, has sought to appeal to those dissatisfied with Trump's policies, including rising concerns over immigration enforcement and the economy.

Recent polls suggest growing discontent among Latino voters, who backed Trump in 2024, over immigration crackdowns and economic challenges.