‘A warning sign for polling’: Why one GOP pollster thinks a blue wave may fall short
Echelon Insights’ Patrick Ruffini told POLITICO he thinks polling is overstating Democrats’ chances of flipping Senate races in historically deep-red territory.
Patrick Ruffini, a prominent GOP pollster, is doubtful about Democrats achieving a significant blue wave in the upcoming elections. Ruffini argues that the polls are overestimating the size of Democratic gains in traditionally red states, such as Iowa, Texas, Ohio, and Alaska. He believes that the Midwest, in particular, has seen inflated Democratic chances due to non-response bias in polling.
While Ruffini acknowledges that individual races might flip, he is skeptical about Democrats gaining a substantial number of Senate seats, especially in deep-red states. He advises Republicans to allocate resources wisely, focusing on Texas and maintaining a presence in other crucial states, as they currently hold control of the Senate.
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