US, Iran both claim control of Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for global oil and natural gas flows, has witnessed a surge in ship attacks as tensions between the United States and Iran escalate. At least 12 vessels were attacked in the week ending October 16, according to the UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO), with the majority of vessels refusing to report incidents to the UKMTO.

The major attacks have occurred since the US-Israel war on Iran began on February 28, making October the highest month for such incidents since the conflict's onset. Half of the confirmed vessels continued to their destination or reached port, while one sank, two were disabled, and three sustained damage or had an unconfirmed outcome.

Adding to the situation, a tanker reported an RPG attack by a small boat 78 nautical miles northeast of Saudi Arabia's Jubail, resulting in aft port quarter damage. The US has attempted to increase energy transits through the Strait, but volumes have fluctuated due to Iranian attacks. Oil flows through Hormuz were at 11.6 million barrels per day in the week ending October 13, representing about 68 percent of the pre-war baseline.

The US military asserts control over the Strait, countering Iran's claims of desiring to prevent Iranian exports and imports through southern ports. Iran, however, disputes these numbers, claiming the US exaggerates attacks to showcase its naval campaign success. Recent claims of naval mines in the Strait have led to contradictory statements from both nations, with the US military stating that vessels are being targeted by projectiles rather than mines.

The US has refrained from commenting on the recent attacks, but the situation remains tense, potentially escalating further ahead of the November 3 midterm elections.