Anthropic polled 1,334 of its employees. They're more sure than most of us that AI will take over jobs.
Anthropic employees forecast AI to handle 80% of their jobs by 2030, while US workers expect less impact, highlighting differing expectations.
Anthropic, an AI startup, conducted a comparative survey of its employees' sentiments towards artificial intelligence (AI) and those of US workers. The results showed a significant divergence in expectations about AI's impact on jobs. Anthropic employees predicted that AI would handle at least 80% of their jobs by 2030, while only about 5% of US workers held a similar view.
The median Anthropic employee anticipated AI would manage 95% of the work required to build a new AI model by the end of 2030. The survey, titled "The AI expectations gap," revealed that Anthropic workers were far more optimistic about AI's capabilities, its ability to save time, and the pace of economic growth. The company's chief economist, Peter McCrory, noted that this research could serve as a leading indicator of how AI adoption will affect the broader economy.
The survey also found that Anthropic employees, who often have larger budgets for AI tools and access to unreleased models, expect AI to disrupt a wider range of job categories compared to US workers, who are more likely to work in manual or service industries. US workers, on average, anticipated an unemployment rate of around 8% in 2030, while Anthropic employees expected it to exceed 12%.
The study also highlighted a disparity in projections for GDP growth, with Anthropic employees expecting 17.1% growth by 2030, compared to the median US adult's estimate of 5.4%.
Written by urgent.news from Business Insider's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
