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How National Debt Affects Freight Costs and Financing

U.S. debt topped $40 trillion and interest now exceeds $1 trillion a year. Here’s how rising borrowing costs hit truck financing, carriers and warehouses. The post How National Debt Affects Freight Costs and Financing appeared first on FreightWaves .

How National Debt Affects Freight Costs and Financing

As of August 2026, the United States' gross federal debt had surpassed $40 trillion, with $32.4 trillion held by the public. This debt burden is consuming a significant portion of federal revenue, accounting for 18.5% of revenue and setting a new record. The Treasury's borrowing activities are competing with private borrowers for capital, leading to upward pressure on interest rates, although the near-term rate story is primarily driven by inflation and the Federal Reserve's actions.

The impact of high debt on freight and logistics costs is evident in truck loans ranging from 7.9% to 8.9%, a decline in Class 8 orders, increased strain on small carriers, and higher financing costs for warehouse development. Companies planning fleet replacements or long-term warehouse leases should consider both Federal Reserve policy and the structural deficit when making financial decisions.

While the large federal debt stock may seem daunting, the situation is not without a silver lining. The federal government constantly buys, sells, and refinances debt, preventing a sudden need to meet such a massive financial obligation at once. However, the annual interest payments on the debt have exceeded $1 trillion and are projected to continue increasing. Currently, net interest on the debt stands at $1.02 trillion, a 9% increase from the previous year, and has surpassed the $1 trillion mark in August 2026.

The cost of capital has been rising due to high interest rates, with the 10-year Treasury yield nearing a 19-year high at 4.97%. Although some of the current yield increase can be attributed to monetary policy aimed at controlling inflation, the 30-year yield remains relatively low at around 5%, which is still higher than historical averages. Nevertheless, the deficit remains a significant factor contributing to the growing debt burden.

As of September 21, 2026, the total U.S. debt stood at $40.12 trillion, with $32.4 trillion held by the public and $7.7 trillion classified as intragovernmental debt. This debt has nearly doubled in the past decade and is expected to reach 120% of GDP by 2036 and 175% within thirty years, surpassing previous records.

Written by urgent.news from FreightWaves's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

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