AI infrastructure spending helps offset global energy shock
AgenciesStrong investment in AI infrastructure is keeping global growth at around 3 percent with major benefits for Asia, but also foreshadows a “slow-moving tsunami” that could ma...
International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva revealed that strong investment in AI infrastructure is maintaining global growth around 3 percent, despite the negative impact of an energy supply shock caused by the US war on Iran. This positive AI-driven demand shock is expected to benefit Asia, with major economies potentially experiencing a half to one percentage point boost in growth.
Emerging Asian economies could see a 0.2 to 0.8 percentage point increase. However, Georgieva warns that this shift could lead to a "slow-moving tsunami" disrupting labor markets, taxation and education. She predicts that 40% of jobs will be augmented, downgraded or eliminated by AI, with 60% in advanced economies. This transformation will have profound consequences for jobs, growth, education, and taxation.
The IMF forecasts global growth at 3 percent for 2026, but the week-long meetings of the IMF and World Bank in Thailand will address the challenges of balancing AI's benefits with its potential negative impacts.
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