Bert Rürup: Wachstumstreiber Zuwanderung
Das Altern der Bevölkerung und der damit verbundene Rückgang des Arbeitsvolumens sind entscheidende Wachstumshemmnisse. Arbeitskräfte werden Deutschlands knappste Ressource.
Düsseldorf - Germany's economy has returned to a growth trajectory, with gross domestic product expected to increase by nearly one percent in the current and upcoming years. The public sector has become the leading driver of growth, now accounting for 52 percent of economic output. The government is investing in infrastructure upgrades and hiring more personnel, while the private sector remains cautious about making investments and hiring.
Large economic research institutions predict only a 0.1 percent quarterly growth for the government in 2028, as production potential is no longer expanding rapidly. The main growth bottlenecks are an aging society and a shrinking labor force. Despite technological advancements and increased investments, these issues cannot be overcome.
Since 2024, the declining workforce has been dampening trend growth, with a one-percent economic growth by the end of the decade being considered a boom. Limited options to counteract this include expanding the existing workforce through higher labor participation and longer working hours, or qualified immigration.
Written by urgent.news from Handelsblatt's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
