Can early votes show who wins midterms?
By October 1, more than 700,000 Americans had already cast their votes in the 2026 US midterm elections across at least 30 states, though early voting figures cannot indicate which party is winning. Virginia has reported the highest early vote count, with 4.5 million votes cast in the 2024 election. Democrats are gaining in ballot requests in several key states, with Iowa, Pennsylvania, and Maine seeing a significant rise in early voting compared to previous midterm cycles.
However, early voting alone cannot determine the outcome of the midterms, as it is determined by the actual votes cast on Election Day.
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