Factbox-Major brokerages’ forecasts for S&P 500 index in 2026

Global brokerages anticipate the S&P 500 index to continue its upward trend in 2026, driven by artificial intelligence momentum and robust corporate earnings, despite the ongoing war in Iran casting a shadow over investor confidence. Strategists project that AI-fueled earnings will counterbalance the temporary economic repercussions of the Middle Eastern conflict, even as inflation concerns and potential disruptions to global energy supplies remain a cause for concern.

Leading brokerages such as Goldman Sachs and Citigroup project the benchmark index to surpass 8,000 by the end of the year, while BofA Global Research and Wells Fargo Investment Institute, a subsidiary of Wells Fargo Bank, are more skeptical, projecting figures below the prevailing consensus.