New Zealand Dollar flirts with YTD low, below 0.5900 amid resurgent USD demand
The NZD/USD pair kicks off the new week on a weaker note and slides back below the 0.5600 mark during the Asian session, close to its lowest level since November 2025 touched on Friday.
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) edged closer to its lowest level of the year, trading below 0.5900 amid rising demand for the US Dollar (USD). This decline came as soft US consumer price index (PCE) data and an unexpected weak Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report dampened expectations for an October Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate increase, pulling US bond yields away from record highs.
Despite this, traders still anticipate an 85% chance of a Fed rate hike by the end of the year. Geopolitical uncertainties, such as Yemen's military operations against Houthi rebels and Iran's stance on the Strait of Hormuz, have bolstered demand for the USD, further weighing on the NZD/USD pair. Ukraine also reported deadly Russian airstrikes in key regions, adding to the geopolitical risk premium and reinforcing the USD's strength.
The NZD's path appears to favor a continued downtrend, with traders keeping an eye on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) planned interest rate decision on October 28 for potential support. Traders will also monitor the upcoming FOMC meeting minutes for further clues.
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