Germany Is Spending €2 Billion to Discover the Real Price of Clean Jet Fuel
Electric aviation is advancing faster than many critics expected. Batteries will not remain confined to tiny experimental aircraft, and short regional routes are a credible early market. But electric aircraft will not replace every jet. Long-haul aviation requires enormous energy at very low weight. Even with better batteries and airframes, liquid fuels will retain a large role for decades. The…
Germany is investing €2 billion to determine the true cost of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) for long-haul flights. As electric aviation advances, batteries will power small experimental aircraft and short regional routes, but long-haul flights still rely on conventional jet fuel due to energy demands and weight constraints. SAF, a low-carbon alternative, may remain essential for decades.
Germany's €2 billion project employs a double-auction mechanism, H2Global, to create both supply and demand for SAF. One side of the auction offers producers a guaranteed price to develop first-of-a-kind facilities, while the other side auctions the fuel to distributors under shorter contracts. This separation allows producers to secure financing and buyers to avoid long-term commitments at uncertain prices.
The auction also provides price discovery, helping policymakers assess the required subsidies and the value investors place on the fuel. While the initial €2 billion round may only support around 266,000 tonnes of SAF, the auction serves as an industrial-development tool rather than an immediate decarbonization solution. Germany has previously experienced a H2Global funding auction that failed due to design flaws, but the revised approach with a dedicated budget and longer horizon aims to create bankable projects.
The focus is on transitioning projects from concept to reality through competitive bidding, which rewards cost efficiencies and reduces governmental support gaps.
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