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Flavio Bolsonaro’s 63% Chance of Winning the Election—and What It Really Means

Brazil is voting today, and the prediction markets have a clear favorite: Flavio Bolsonaro. On Polymarket, the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro sits at about 63% odds of winning.

  • Flavio Bolsonaro has a 63% chance of winning the Brazilian election on Polymarket.
  • Incumbent President Lula has a 37% chance of winning, per prediction markets.
  • Jair Bolsonaro convicted for 2023 attacks, splitting countries' perspectives.

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