Polls open in Latvia against backdrop of perceived Russia threat

Latvians cast their votes in parliamentary elections on Saturday, with concerns over the rising cost of living and Russia's influence shaping the political landscape. Latvia, an independent nation since 1991, is the least affluent of the three Baltic states and is a crucial NATO member guarding the eastern flank. With 14 parties competing for 100 seats in the Saeima, a proportional system is used for elections. Preliminary results are anticipated on Saturday evening, followed by official results on Sunday.

The United List, led by Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, is expected to secure the most seats, but their coalition may emerge weakened after the vote. The centre-right coalition includes the New Unity, the National Alliance, and the Union of Greens and Farmers. The focus on security and the economy is evident among voters, with defence and security taking precedence due to Latvia's strategic position near Russia. However, the country's struggling economy, particularly in regions like Latgale, is also a significant concern.

Populist parties, driven by economic worries, have gained traction in Latvia. The Sovereign Power (Suverena vara, SV) party, which criticizes aid to Ukraine and increased military spending, is polling at nine percent. Their leader, Julija Stepanenko, emphasizes Latvia's economic struggles over identity politics. Another populist party, Latvia First (LPV), is also at nine percent and could play a crucial role in coalition negotiations. The question remains whether the United List will cooperate with LPV in forming a new government.