Analytics experts weigh in on Colorado's upset chance vs. Texas Tech

Colorado faces a formidable opponent as it prepares to host No. 10 Texas Tech Red Raiders in a Saturday evening matchup at Boulder. Following two consecutive losses, the Buffaloes are receiving a lot of criticism, and the analytics community shares this sentiment. ESPN's Bill Connelly has even listed Texas Tech among his top-15 teams on an upset alert.

However, this has not instilled much confidence that Colorado can pull off an upset. The Buffaloes' defense has become more aggressive and disruptive, posing a challenge to Texas Tech's offense. Despite the Red Raiders' strong efficiency numbers and occasional big plays, they struggle with turnovers and offensive line injuries. While there is some intrigue in the matchup, it is highly unlikely that Colorado will actually score against Texas Tech.

Both ESPN's Football Power Index and SP+ project a 16-point victory for the Red Raiders over the Buffaloes. Although the numbers suggest Colorado is unlikely to win, the defensive matchup between the two teams could be the key to a Colorado upset.