Konjunktur: Bundesregierung hebt Wachstumsprognosen kräftig an
Die Herbstprojektion soll nächste Woche von der Bundeswirtschaftsministerin Katherina Reiche vorgestellt werden. Deutschlands Prognose fällt überraschend positiv aus.
Berlin - The German federal government is significantly increasing its growth forecasts for the coming years, according to a source cited by Reuters on Thursday. The anticipated growth now stands at 1.3 percent this year and 1.1 percent next year, with the national economy only expected to see a noticeable slowdown beginning in 2028, with a projected increase of just 0.6 percent.
Bundeswirtschaftsministerin Katherina Reiche (CDU) plans to present the autumn projection next week. Since spring, the government coalition of the Union and SPD had forecasted 0.5 percent growth for 2026 and 0.9 percent for 2027. However, the ongoing conflict in the Middle East has negatively impacted the German economy more than initially anticipated. The recovery is primarily fueled by the state's debt-funded investments in infrastructure and the Bundeswehr's modernization.
Public sector consumption, particularly from government spending, is expected to drive growth more significantly in 2026 than private households. While the gap between public and private consumption is expected to narrow in 2027, it will still be considerable. Despite the high levels of debt in various policy areas, the coalition government has undertaken structural reforms, but implementation has been inconsistent.
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