Where does FSU land in ESPN SP+ following its win vs Central Arkansas?
FSU snapped its losing streak by beating Central Arkansas last week. How did the win affect its standing in ESPN's SP+?
The FSU Seminoles secured a victory against the Central Arkansas Bears on Saturday, restoring their season record to .500. However, the impact of this win on their standing in ESPN's SP+ was noteworthy. Created by Bill Connelly in 2008, SP+ is an efficiency metric that predicts future performance and does not reward teams for winning without good play. The report delves into FSU's ranking in various categories as of Week 5's game against the Virginia Cavaliers.
Overall, FSU holds the 53rd position in ESPN's SP+ rankings, with a rating of 5.7, maintaining the same place as before their win over Central Arkansas. The team is the seventh-best in the ACC, trailing the Miami Hurricanes, Pitt Panthers, Virginia Cavaliers, Virginia Tech Hokies, Duke Blue Devils, and Louisville Cardinals. The offensive ranking places FSU at 35th, with a rating of 32.1, indicating room for improvement.
However, the offensive unit has been the strongest aspect of the team leading up to the challenging conference schedule.
FSU's defense, rated 74th with a mark of 26.5, is one of the weaker points in the ACC. Overcoming this deficiency is crucial for the Seminoles to progress and secure a bowl game, considering their struggles in the secondary and defensive line. Special teams rank 65th, with a rating of 0.1, showcasing that while there have been no game-altering plays, costly errors have been avoided.
Looking ahead to their matchup against Virginia, the updated SP+ model projects a close game, with FSU expected to lose 24-30, resulting in a 65% win probability for the Cavaliers. Virginia is currently ranked 21st in the metric, boasting the 18.1 defense and 32.4 offense.
Written by urgent.news from Yahoo Sports's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.