Long-Term Treasury Yields Rise to 5.5%, Mortgage Rates to 7.5%, as Bond Market Grapples with a Complex Reality
It would make sense for the bond market to take a breather here and digest a little. But the dynamics are in place for yields to rise further.
US Treasury yields have risen, with the 10-year yield holding firm at 5.20% and the 30-year bond yield reaching its highest level in 22 years. According to FXStreet, this increase is attributed to hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve officials and a recent 25-basis-point rate hike. Some officials, including New York Fed's John Williams and Philadelphia Fed's Anna Paulson, have shifted towards a hawkish stance, with Fed Governor Michael Barr also acknowledging the need for further rate hikes.
The bond market is grappling with high oil prices and inflationary pressures, with US Consumer Sentiment deteriorating due to expected increases in inflation. FXStreet reports that money markets predict a 64% chance of a Fed rate hike at the October 28 meeting and a 92% chance at the December meeting. Meanwhile, an analyst from Wolf Street notes that dynamics are in place for yields to rise further.
In unrelated news, the Kenyan government reported strong demand for its Treasury bills, with Ksh41.7 billion in bids placed at the latest auction, significantly above the Ksh28 billion offered. According to People Daily Kenya, interest rates on the 91-day, 182-day, and 364-day Treasury bills declined during the week, with the 91-day bill's average interest rate falling to 8.778%.
Brief written by urgent.news from Wolf Street, FXStreet, People Daily Kenya — 3 reports on this story. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
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- Treasury bills attract Ksh41.7 billion as interest rates fall peopledaily.digital