Europe Intelligence Brief — Saturday, September 26, 2026

The USA & Canada Intelligence Brief for September 26, 2026, reveals a gloomy mood across the nation, with consumer sentiment falling to 48.1, the lowest reading in four months, according to the University of Michigan's final September survey. This represents a 3.6-point decrease from August's 51.7, indicating a 7% decline in sentiment within a single month. The survey's director, Joanne Hsu, noted that sentiment had reached its lowest point in four months and down 15% from January 2026.

The political divide is evident as Americans rate their current situation at 50.9 and their expectations for the future at 46.3, reflecting a 10.1% drop in expectations compared to a 1.9% rise in current conditions. Both the Republican and Democratic sentiment have experienced declines since January, with Republicans down 20% and Democrats down 13%.

The economic outlook has worsened, with households now anticipating inflation to rise by 4.6% over the coming year, up from 4.0% in August. This is the highest expectation since June. Households also expect prices to rise by 3.4% annually, a figure that has declined from June's 4.0%.

Despite the negative sentiment, the stock market displayed resilience, with the S&P 500 closing at 7,743.41, up 0.51% for the day and 1.21% for the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended at 51,828.62, up 0.93% for the week. This disparity between the market's performance and the public's sentiment paints a clear picture of the psychological impact on the American populace.