Why Democratic Senate hopes are rising
This story appeared in Today, Explained, a daily newsletter that helps you understand the most compelling news and stories of the day. We’re officially inside 40 days until the 2026 midterms — and Republicans are feeling the pressure. Nearly every poll seems to bring more bad news for GOP candidates, even in what would normally be […]
As the 2026 midterms approach, Democratic hopes for gaining control of the Senate are growing stronger. Recent polls have shown increasing challenges for Republican candidates, particularly in traditionally Republican strongholds. Some GOP lawmakers are signaling a shift away from President Donald Trump and his controversial policies.
In Florida, Representative María Elvira Salazar has released an ad criticizing Trump's immigration enforcement, while two Iowa Republican incumbents have voted to end the Iran war. These moves demonstrate a potential realignment within the party. Election forecasters now consider key races in Iowa, Texas, and Kansas as tossups or leaning Democratic.
Texas, in particular, could be a major gain for Democrats, with state Representative James Talarico leading in the polls against Republican Ken Paxton. Kansas has also emerged as a potential swing state, with Democratic candidate Adam Hamilton challenging incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall. Democrats have an opportunity to regain control of the upper chamber, despite the uphill battle they previously faced.
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