Oil prices fall as Iran says it is open to diplomacy to end the war
Oil prices dipped on Thursday following a 4% surge the previous day as Iran expressed willingness to engage in diplomacy to terminate the US-Iran conflict. Brent crude futures slipped 92 cents, or 0.9%, to $102.16 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate futures declined 77 cents, or 0.8%, to $91.39. Iran and the United States continue to clash over the path to ending their war, but senior Iranian officials maintain that dialogue must persist.
Tehran is currently assessing Washington's reaction to its peace proposals, which emphasize removing the US naval blockade on Iranian ports and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Market expert Priyanka Sachdeva attributes the price drop to investors reducing their geopolitical risk premium as Gulf supplies rebound and optimism about a US-Iran diplomatic resolution rises.
Brent continues to hold a higher premium due to its greater exposure to Middle East disruptions and the Hormuz Strait, whereas WTI gains more from the relative insularity of US supplies. Iran's security chief, Mohsen Rezaei, reiterated that the Strait of Hormuz would not reopen until Tehran's demands are addressed. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio cautioned that reaching an agreement with Iran would entail considerable effort over an extended period, while former President Donald Trump had suggested employing military measures.
Traders also contemplated potential restrictions on diesel exports. Ultra-low-sulfur diesel futures dropped roughly 5% in midday trading after reports emerged that the Trump administration was contemplating a 90-day diesel ban, although the White House subsequently denied the claim. Energy Secretary Chris Wright had previously stated that a diesel export ban would be ineffective despite Trump's endorsement.
Analysts and market observers have cautioned that such a measure would likely have little impact on high energy prices and could exacerbate global supplies, further destabilizing economies. Recent data from the US Energy Information Administration revealed that US distillate stocks, encompassing diesel and heating oil, decreased by 428,000 barrels to 107.4 million barrels last week.
Concurrently, US crude inventories climbed by 3 million barrels to 426.4 million barrels, although analysts polled by Reuters had anticipated a 641,000-barrel decline.
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