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Does a model's stated reason for rejecting a candidate do any work?

Asked to choose between candidates and explain the choice, a language model often rejects a rival by naming a fact its profile lacks: no director, no date of death. That sentence is a claim about the text in front of the model, and it can be tested without any judge. We insert a real corpus sentence stating the named fact into the rival's profile and ask again under greedy decoding. Two controls…

We haven't written up this one. arXiv cs.AI has the full story — the link below goes straight to it.

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Ed Zitron’s AI Prediction Track Record

Dan Luu serves up some copiously documented claim chowder: After this point, most further predictions that I saw were either non-falsifiable or resolve in the future.

  • Ed Zitron made forward-looking AI predictions that capabilities wouldn't progress.
  • He also made backward-looking statements implying no AI improvement.
  • Zitron's statements suggest AI capabilities remained same from Jan 2026 to Dec 2023.

Muse sure looks a lot like OpenClaw

We seem to be entering into an AI agent renaissance. Meta's new consumer-facing AI agent, Muse, topped the App Store charts soon after its release and has 600,000 daily active users in the US, by an…

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