India vs. Sri Lanka live win probability, score, chances of victory for Asian Games women's cricket final 2026

India and Sri Lanka are set to clash in the Women's Asian Games cricket final for the second consecutive year, with the match taking place at Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin on Tuesday. This repeat of the 2023 Hangzhou edition saw India claim the gold medal three years ago. India entered the final after dominant wins against Japan and Bangladesh, while Sri Lanka secured their spot with an 86-run victory over Malaysia and an emphatic eight-wicket win against Pakistan.

Shafali Verma leads India into the final in excellent form, alongside other standout performers Smriti Mandhana and Shree Charani. For Sri Lanka, captain Chamari Athapaththu is their key player, having scored 146 runs across two innings and taken three wickets.

The toss is scheduled for 10:00 am. India's predicted playing XI includes Smriti Mandhana, Shafali Verma, Harmanpreet Kaur (captain), Deepti Sharma, Richa Ghosh (wicketkeeper), Bharti Fulmali, G. Kamalini, Shreyanka Patil, Sree Charani, Nandani Sharma, and Kranti Gaud. Sri Lanka's predicted lineup features Vishmi Gunaratne, Chamari Athapaththu (captain), Harshitha Samarawickrama, Kavisha Dilhari, Nilakshika de Silva, Sachini Nisansala (wicketkeeper), Kaushini Nuthyangana, Udeshika Prabodhani, Achini Kulasuriya, Sugandika Kumari, and Inoshi Priyadharshani.

India holds a 75% chance of victory in the match, while Sri Lanka are the underdogs at 25%. Betting odds currently favor India at 1.06, with Sri Lanka at 7.00.