Dow Jones Industrial Average drops from a weekly high as bank shares slide
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rose on Tuesday to its highest level since September 14 before the opening bell, then turned lower once trading started in New York. It trades near 51,800, below Monday's close. The NASDAQ Composite tested record highs and the S&P 500 is barely changed.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped from a weekly high on Tuesday as shares of banks slipped. The index traded near 51,800, lower than the previous day's closing figure. Meanwhile, the NASDAQ Composite tested record highs and the S&P 500 remained flat. Money was flowing out of financial companies and into technology, with the Dow having a greater proportion of the former and less of the latter compared to the other two indexes.
Financial shares, including banks, brokers, and insurers, were declining across the market. Traders were shifting their investments towards technology due to rising interest in artificial intelligence (AI) agents and apps. JPMorgan Chase, the largest bank in the country, experienced a decline along with others in the financial sector.
Analysts had previously raised their rating on Meta Platforms due to Meta's new AI agent, and Meta became a popular investment among the money moving into tech stocks. The Dow is calculated using only share prices, so a $1 change in any of its 30 components moves the index by about 6 points, regardless of the company's size. A $10 drop represents a 1% change in a $1,000 share and a 10% change in a $100 share.
The S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite, on the other hand, are weighted by each company's total market value, making the largest technology companies the most influential in that index. Despite Goldman Sachs shares being among the most expensive in the Dow, a 1% fall in their stock took more than twice as many points off the index compared to JPMorgan.
Meta was absent from the Dow, contributing to the overall decline despite the index reaching a record high. Crude oil prices continued to fall for the fifth consecutive day, with Brent, the international benchmark, reaching its lowest level since September 8. Reports suggested Iran had offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, but the deal remained unconfirmed.
The offer depended on the United States lifting its blockade of Iranian ports. President Trump expressed a desire for a deal with Iran following the November 3 midterms, anticipating a drop in crude oil prices below prewar levels. Crude oil prices rebounded after Trump's speech, with the expectation that the anticipated fuel cost savings would occur after the midterms.
The Federal Reserve raised its main reference rate by a quarter-point to 3.75-4.00% on September 16, marking the first increase since July 2023. Higher fuel prices contributed to the rate increase. Most Fed officials expect at least one more rate increase before the year ends, with the next decision scheduled for October 28. Goldman Sachs generates less revenue from lending and more from arranging takeovers and share sales, which become more challenging to fund as borrowing costs rise.
Higher interest rates would negatively impact the bank, which has less influence on the Dow. Resistance levels include the September 17 and Monday highs just above 52,100, and the current high just above 52,400. Support levels are the index's low just under 51,800, matching Monday's low just above 51,750. Below that level are the September 18 low near 51,500 and the September 16 low around 51,200.
The market sentiment remained bearish below 52,100, with the index likely to test the September 18 and September 16 lows if it continues its downward trend. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is composed of 30 major US companies, calculated using a price-weighted method. It has faced criticism for its limited representation of the broader market compared to indices like the S&P 500.
Factors such as quarterly company earnings, macroeconomic data, and interest rates set by the Federal Reserve influence the Dow's performance. Dow Theory, developed by Charles Dow, helps identify the primary trend in the stock market by comparing the movements of three major averages and considering volume as a confirmation factor. The theory outlines three trend phases: accumulation, public participation, and distribution.
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