Musk Calls $10 Trillion in Starship Revenue ‘Not Impossible.’ Here Are 2 Things You Need to Know About His Bold Projection.

A substantial claim regarding SpaceX's potential revenue from Starship launches has captured attention. According to Ark Invest's Sam Korus, each Starship launch could generate approximately $1 billion in revenue if it carries about 61 terabits per second of connectivity at $19 million per terabit per second. If SpaceX reaches Elon Musk's target of 10,000 launches per year by 2030, the total Starship revenue could reach a staggering $10 trillion.

Musk has reposted Korus's claim, adding, "It's not impossible," though this is far from a concrete plan or forecast. As of now, SpaceX has conducted 165 Falcon 9 launches in 2025 and is on a similar pace for 2026, but Starship remains untested in regular service. Additionally, SpaceX's revenue per Tbps has decreased from $23 million in 2024 to $19 million in 2025, indicating that the $1 billion per launch figure is also declining.

While Starlink is already a profitable business, generating $4.3 billion in quarterly connectivity revenue, the $10 trillion projection is based on an unattainable launch rate. Musk's statement that it's not impossible leaves room for interpretation, but SpaceX's current progress does not align with these ambitious projections.