Greg Abbott's Chances of Losing Amid Texas Warning Signs for Republicans
Abbott was dealt his worst poll yet against Democrat Gina Hinojosa in the Texas governor's race.
In a growing competitive race for Texas governor, Democratic state Representative Gina Hinojosa has surged to a first polling lead over Republican incumbent Greg Abbott, according to two new polls released Thursday. The ReconMR poll from Siena University shows Hinojosa up 4 points over Abbott, 49 percent to 45 percent, marking her first lead in the election cycle.
Another Emerson College poll found the race narrowing, with Abbott holding a 3-point lead, 49 percent to 46 percent. Both polls indicate a shift in Texas' traditionally Republican stronghold towards a more competitive battleground state as President Donald Trump's approval rating declines. Hinojosa attributed her lead to her message of securing the American Dream by saving Texas schools and putting money in Texans' pockets, stating that she and her campaign will end Abbott's 30-year political career in November.
Abbott's campaign did not comment on the results. Despite the shifting landscape, flipping Texas remains a daunting task for Democrats, who have not elected a statewide Democratic office holder since the 1990s and backed Trump by 14 points in the 2024 election.
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