'Godfather of AI' Geoffrey Hinton warns AI could wipe out humanity within 10 years
Geoffrey Hinton predicts a ten percent chance of AI wiping out humanity soon. He believes the window for this existential threat is rapidly shrinking. Other AI researchers share similar concerns about future superintelligence risks. Companies continue developing more capable AI models at an accelerated pace. Global regulation is called for to manage AI's potential dangers effectively.
Renowned artificial intelligence pioneer Geoffrey Hinton warns that the technology could lead to humanity's demise within the next decade, stating that a 10% chance of such an event is "not unreasonable." The former Nobel laureate acknowledges the difficulty in estimating the exact probability, given that society has never experienced a technology capable of surpassing human intelligence.
Hinton's assessment has shortened from a previous range of 30 to 50 years to a potential timeframe of 10 to 20 years, with some experts believing it might occur even sooner.
Hinton has called for global regulation of AI to prevent it from taking control away from humans, arguing that countries share a common interest in ensuring the technology benefits humanity. He also noted that dismissing the possibility of AI posing an existential threat would be foolish. Other industry experts, such as former Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon, have raised similar concerns, warning of serious risks taken by major AI companies and likening the situation to gambling with human lives.
Anthropic researcher Evan Hubinger has also expressed concerns, estimating a greater than 10% chance of AI killing all humans within the next decade, while stating that the company is not yet fully prepared to address the problem.
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