Betting on the Midterms
From Polymarket today, 3pm CT: The sharp deterioration in Republican odds for holding the Senate occurred almost immediately after the beginning of the US-Iran War. The first reversal between Republican/Democratic odds occurred on March 15. Kalshi places odds of Democratic control of both houses now at 59%.
We haven't written up this one. Econbrowser has the full story — the link below goes straight to it.
