Another Fed hike to follow? Goldman Sachs says US Federal Reserve could raise interest rates again in October

The U.S. Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate for the first time since 2023 on Wednesday, aiming to curb persistent inflation that has remained above its 2% target for more than half a decade. Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, nominated by President Trump, stated that economic indicators suggest a tightening pace since the central bank opted to maintain rates in July.

Inflation continues to outpace the Fed's 2% goal, with no signs of slowing down, Warsh noted. The Fed's decision was also influenced by global central banks raising rates amid economic turmoil and higher fuel prices. According to Goldman Sachs, another rate hike is expected in October, aligning with the Fed's strategy to bring inflation back to the 2% target at consecutive meetings.

Higher interest rates could burden households with increased borrowing costs on mortgages, car loans, and credit cards, while potentially benefiting savers with better returns on deposits. President Trump has publicly opposed the Fed's rate hikes, advocating for lower rates around 1% to stimulate economic growth and reduce borrowing costs.

The Fed will convene again in late October, with most economists expecting officials to maintain rates as the midterm elections approach; however, Goldman Sachs anticipates a 25 basis point increase.