Uncertainty-Aware Model Selection with a Calibrated Probability-Generating-Function-Based Bayesian Information Criterion
Selecting stochastic gene-expression models from single-cell counts requires balancing goodness of fit against unnecessary mechanistic complexity. The probability-generating-function-based Bayesian information criterion (PGF-BIC) combines covariance-weighted fitting in generating-function space with a complexity penalty, allowing candidate models to be compared without reconstructing their full…
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