Stocks rise as oil falls, bonds steady ahead of Fed decision
On Wednesday, global stock markets experienced a rise as bond yields and oil prices leveled off in anticipation of a major Federal Reserve decision. The MSCI's global equities index rose by 0.2%, after two days of decline. Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan increased by 0.6%, ending a four-day losing streak. European markets also showed growth, with the STOXX 600 up by 0.6% and major German, French, and Spanish indices all posting gains.
U.S. stock futures also pointed to a higher opening, following the S&P 500's lower close on Tuesday amid the 10-year Treasury bond's yield nearing a five-year high since 2007. The 10-year Treasury note's yield dipped to 4.97% from earlier levels over 5%, having risen above 5% on Tuesday for the first time in three years, marking its highest since 2007.
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and Chair Janet Yellen will unveil their policy decision at 1800 GMT (2 p.m. ET), followed by a press conference. Fed Chair's credibility and guidance are under scrutiny, as markets evaluate the potential impact on the economy and stock market. Despite President Trump's calls for lower rates, traders see a rate hike as almost certain.
The probability of a 25-basis-point increase stands at 92.7%, up from 61.2% a week ago. The dollar index remains steady, nearing a two-week high, while the Japanese yen stays at 155 per dollar following a previous two-day decline. British stocks and the pound both saw slight increases after an inflation report did not alter expectations before the Bank of England's policy decision the following day.
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