British Pound loses ground as markets brace for Fed, BoE monetary decisions
GBP/USD extends its decline on Monday and trades around 1.3470 at the time of writing, down 0.38% on the day. The pair falls to the lower end of its monthly range, weighed down by renewed demand for the US Dollar (USD) ahead of several major monetary policy decisions.
The British Pound has been losing value as markets prepare for monetary policy decisions from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. The GBP/USD pair has dropped to around 1.3470, marking a 0.38% decrease for the day. This decline is attributed to a surge in demand for the US Dollar, driven by anticipation of policy changes.
Investors are eagerly awaiting the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday, with forecasts suggesting an 88% probability of a 25-basis-point hike this week. The Federal Reserve Chair, Kevin Warsh, will provide further insights during his press conference, which could impact the USD's strength. On the UK side, the Bank of England is set to announce its monetary policy decision on Thursday.
Economists anticipate the central bank to keep its policy rate at 3.75%, although BoE Governor Andrew Bailey has cautioned against an automatic tightening of monetary policy, emphasizing the need for economic and geopolitical factors to influence future rate increases. Despite strong UK economic data, such as a 0.4% rise in GDP for July and an unexpectedly high industrial production, the GBP/USD pair remains primarily driven by expectations surrounding the Fed and BoE decisions.
Technical analysis indicates that GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.3472, with a bearish near-term bias due to being below the 100-period and 200-period simple moving averages. Resistance levels are positioned around 1.3517, 1.3524, and 1.3529, while support levels are located at 1.3464 and 1.3434. As traders anticipate crucial central bank events, the USD continues to gain strength, pushing other currencies like the AUD/USD and USD/JPY lower.
Gold prices have also dropped, nearing multi-week lows due to rising expectations of a Fed rate increase and renewed inflation concerns from soaring oil prices. Bitcoin shows slight gains, while Ethereum and Ripple maintain their support levels.
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- British Pound: BoE risks in focus – Scotiabank fxstreet.com