Barómetro CIS de septiembre: el PSOE cae en estimación de voto tras la crisis de Ceuta, el PP se estanca y Vox crece

The September CIS Opinion Barometer, the first after the Ceuta migration crisis, shows a two-point drop in the PSOE's voting estimate, but it still leads ahead of the PP, which has stalled while Vox grows. The September CIS predicts the PSOE with a 31% voting estimate, two points lower than July. The PP would garner 25.5% (0.4 points more than the previous) and Vox rises 1.3 points to 16.6%.

The results mark a low point for the legislature with a 5.7% backing of the party, and a rise for Podemos at 3.7%. The party SE Acab� la Fiesta, led by Euro MP Luis Alvise Perez, falls to 1.8%. With these results, the PSOE loses 2 points of electoral support behind the migration crisis, but still leads the PP by 5.5 points if elections were held again, according to the CIS.

The survey, conducted with 4,042 interviews between September 1-4 following the President Pedro Sanchez's appearance in Congress to explain government management following the mass migrant entry in Ceuta at the end of July, is the first electoral intention barometer after the Ceuta crisis. The CIS, headed by Jos� Felix Tezanos, does not perform its monthly barometer in August, making this the first analysis of voting intentions after the Ceuta city autonomic crisis.

The September barometer reflects a 33% voting estimate for the PSOE in July, recovering 1.7 points from June. The PP fell 2.1 points to 25.1%, leaving a 7.9-point gap between the two, the second smallest since last year.