Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD bounces off 38.2% Fibo. near $63.00; bearish bias remains
Silver (XAG/USD) finds some support near the $63.00 mark and stages a modest intraday recovery from an over three-week low, touched earlier this Friday.
Silver (XAG/USD) experiences a brief rebound near $63.00, marking a modest recovery from an extended low. Traders remain on alert, awaiting the release of US consumer inflation data. From a technical standpoint, XAG/USD maintains a bearish outlook after breaking below the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, currently around $64.71.
The subsequent pause occurs near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, which now serves as a crucial turning point. Concurrently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 37.46, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reading is -0.38 on the H4 chart, indicating that downside momentum persists even after the recent bounce from oversold levels.
The next resistance levels are the 200-period SMA at $64.71, the 38.2% retracement at $64.91, and the 23.6% retracement near $67.27. Conversely, support is found at the 50.0% retracement at $62.99, followed by the 61.8% level at $61.08. A breach of the latter could expose the 78.6% retracement at $58.36, with the cycle low area near $54.89 as a long-term bearish target.
Silver, a valuable commodity traded by investors, is often utilized as a store of value and medium of exchange, albeit less favored than Gold. Investors can acquire physical Silver or trade it via Exchange Traded Funds, which mirror its price in global markets. Factors such as geopolitical tensions, economic concerns, yield changes, and currency fluctuations influence Silver's price movements.
Silver's industrial applications, particularly in electronics and solar energy, can also impact its price. The Gold/Silver ratio, indicating the number of Silver ounces required to match the value of one Gold ounce, may signal relative valuation differences between the two metals.
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