IWF: Weltwirtschaft trotzt Energiekrise – Risiken bleiben aber hoch
Die Weltwirtschaft werde von gegenläufigen Kräften beeinflusst. Während KI die Wirtschaft antreibt, hemmt der negative Angebotsschock bei Energie das Wachstum.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has found that the global economy has better weathered the energy shock triggered by the Middle East war than initially feared, according to its recent assessment. The fund predicts that global economic output will still grow by around three percent in 2026. While global inflation expectations have risen, they remain well-anchored in the long run.
IMF spokeswoman Julie Kozack stated that "so far, the global economy has proven robust despite six months of war in the Middle East." Some countries have weathered the energy crisis through the use of reserves, while others have shifted to new energy sources or curtailed demand. Earlier in July, the IMF had lowered its forecast for global growth in 2026 to 3.0 percent, compared to an average of 3.5 percent for 2024 and 2025.
This prediction was based on the assumption that the war would end by mid-July. The monetary authority will release an updated forecast at its joint annual meeting with the World Bank in Bangkok from October 12th to 18th.
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