Cuánto tiempo tarda la Bolsa en reponerse de una subida de tipos
La agenda no da tregua, y tras la subida de tipos de ayer del BCE los focos se desplazan hacia la reunión del miércoles de la Fed. Leer
The time it takes for the stock market to recover from a rate hike is a critical topic for investors. According to historical data from UniCredit, the S&P 500 often experiences difficulties in the one to three months following the first rate hike following a pause. However, this short-term negative impact tends to diminish over time when viewed from a medium-term perspective.
In fact, for five out of seven episodes analyzed by UniCredit, the S&P 500 was trading at a higher level six months after the initial rate increase. The analysis suggests that a rise in interest rates usually precedes medium-term gains in the stock market, provided that economic growth and corporate profits remain robust and the Fed's rate hikes continue on track with current expectations.
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