MLB Best Home Run Bets For September 8, 2026 —Harper And Baldwin

As of September 8, 2026, the MLB best home run betting market remains in a slump, with only three correct home run prop bets out of 32 since July 20. Bryce Harper and Ozzie Albies capitalized on their touted home run props on July 20, but the cold streak has wiped out any gains made throughout the season, leaving bettors down $546 for every $100 wagered on these props.

The MLB best home run bets sit at a 21-88 record, an unacceptable 21-88 record, even by the standards of long-shot bets. However, two promising home run bets for tonight could help erase the missteps.

First, Bryce Harper (Philadelphia Phillies - OF) has a +425 odds prop bet at Hard Rock Bet and +413 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for over 0.5 home runs. Harper has hit 23 home runs against right-handed pitching this season, making him an appealing pick. Additionally, Great American Ball Park in Philadelphia boasts a 115 park factor for homers since 2025, ranking fifth in MLB, which could further aid Harper's chances.

Second, Drake Baldwin (Atlanta Braves - C) has a +450 odds prop bet at Hard Rock Bet and +430 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook for over 0.5 home runs against right-handed pitcher Freddy Peralta. Baldwin has hit 15 of his 22 home runs against righties this year, with a particularly strong track record at home. Truist Park in Atlanta has a 105 park factor for homers since 2025, tied for 13th in MLB, providing an additional boost to Baldwin's chances.