Bitcoin faces key support test at $78.3K as US crude oil hits three-month high

Bitcoin experienced a significant drop on Tuesday's Wall Street trading session, mirroring the decline in US stocks. Analysts warn that the $78,300 support level for Bitcoin must be maintained. The cryptocurrency's value dipped below $78,000 as risk assets suffered from renewed Middle Eastern tensions. TradingView data indicated BTC/USD falling as low as $77,600 before a slight recovery, marking its lowest price since September 3. Bitcoin's one-hour chart, sourced from Cointelegraph and TradingView, shows this downward trend.

The S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index also faced a decline, with the S&P 500 down by 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite down by 0.4% at the time of reporting. Meanwhile, oil prices responded more dramatically to the Middle East events, with WTI crude surging toward $95 per barrel, its highest level since June 8. Brent crude even reached the $100 mark for the first time since July 24.

This surge in oil prices led to a record rise in US diesel prices, signaling mounting inflation expectations. US President Donald Trump, in a Truth Social post, downplayed the oil spike, predicting lower prices in the future if the United States wins the conflict with Iran. President Trump declared, "Oil prices will drop precipitously, like everything else is dropping (but more!), when we WIN the war with Iran."

Rekt Capital, a trader and analyst, expressed cautious optimism about Bitcoin's current price action, drawing parallels to the cryptocurrency's failed May breakout. "The retest of ~$78,300 is now in progress," Rekt Capital noted on X. Should this support level fail, Bitcoin could face another lower high in a series dating back to October 2025, extending its 2026 bear market.

"Ultimately, a Weekly Close below $78,300 followed by a bearish retest, similar to early May, would likely confirm a breakdown," Rekt Capital argued in a separate analysis on X.