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Vietnam: Inflation and trade trends shape VND – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Vietnam update highlights rising inflation and a narrowing trade deficit, with strong manufacturing-led imports and resilient exports. The bank notes elevated CPI and external deficits limit scope for aggressive easing, but robust activity persists.

Vietnam: Inflation and trade trends shape VND – Commerzbank

Commerzbank's latest update on Vietnam reveals that the country's inflation and trade trends are playing a significant role in shaping the VND exchange rate. Rising inflation and a narrowing trade deficit have emerged as key factors, with strong manufacturing-led imports and resilient exports supporting the Vietnamese economy. While elevated CPI and external deficits limit the scope for aggressive easing, the overall economic activity remains robust.

The USD/VND exchange rate has been stable in a tight range, with potential support from portfolio inflows due to FTSE's upgrade of Vietnam to Secondary Emerging Market status.

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