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Rohstoffe: 97 statt 200 Dollar: Warum der große Öl-Schock trotz neuer Angriffe im Iran-Krieg bisher ausbleibt

Ölpreise von bis zu 200 Dollar pro Barrel prophezeiten Experten wegen des Krieges. Das Handelsblatt erklärt, warum diese Prognosen trotz neuer Angriffe nicht eingetreten sind.

Rohstoffe: 97 statt 200 Dollar: Warum der große Öl-Schock trotz neuer Angriffe im Iran-Krieg bisher ausbleibt

Although the United States and Iran resumed their tit-for-tat provocations in recent days, the oil price on Monday remained at only 97 dollars per barrel (159 liters). Weekly figures show an increase of nearly eight percent. The US military reported sinking the Iranian oil tanker "M/T Kylo" over the weekend. Iran, in turn, claimed an attack on a US military vessel, which the US denied.

In the past few months, prices would have reacted extremely to such news: At the beginning of the Iranian war in late February, the price jumped from 72 dollars to over 119 dollars within a few days. Some analysts even considered a price of 200 dollars per barrel to be realistic. Now, it appears as if the market has cooled down.

Yet, oil exports from the Gulf region are still only about two thirds of pre-war levels, with a daily 20 million barrels. What makes the oil market develop so fundamentally differently than many experts expected? The answer lies in the interaction of several factors. The Handelsblatt magazine answers the most important questions.

Written by urgent.news from Handelsblatt's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

Read the original at handelsblatt.com →

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