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Ghana Returns to the Medium-Term Curve as Bids Top US$390m

Ghana's first four-year cedi bond since the domestic debt exchange drew US$392 million in bids and cleared at 12%, with the state accepting US$277 million. The post Ghana Returns to the Medium-Term Curve as Bids Top US$390m appeared first on The Rio Times .

Ghana issued a four-year cedi bond with a successful yield of 12.00%, clearing at 70.57% of the bids submitted, marking the country's first medium-term cedi issue since the domestic debt exchange reset. The Finance Ministry accepted GH₵3.15 billion (US$277 million) of the GH₵4.46 billion (US$392 million) offered, setting a bid-to-cover ratio of 1.41 times.

The bond's clearing yield of 12.00% is significant as it settled at the bottom of the expected range, indicating that the book had sufficient depth for the issuer to price at their desired level. This decision, to prioritize price over volume, suggests the government's confidence in the market's ability to sustain the offer.

The issuance comes as Ghana completes its sixth and final review of its IMF programme, unlocking a US$371 million disbursement. The country has also been retiring external obligations early, with a US$700 million Eurobond settled ahead of schedule this year. These actions are aimed at transitioning out of crisis management and returning to normal debt operations.

Ghana's recovery hinges on rebuilding the medium part of the domestic debt curve, which has been affected by the 2023 domestic debt exchange that pushed local investors into short bills. Successful medium-term issues help extend the average maturity of domestic debt and reduce the need for frequent rollovers, benefiting pension funds and insurers that require duration.

The bond, book-built rather than auctioned, demonstrates the government's willingness to gauge demand before committing to a coupon. The spread of about 130 basis points above the post-restructuring four-year secondary reference indicates the impact of liquidity premium and past losses in the exchange market. Foreign investors will need to compare the cedi yield with other frontier local-currency markets, taking into account currency adjustments.

The successful auction signals a renewed interest in Ghanaian duration, but more steps are needed for the market to fully normalize. Ratings agencies are gradually moving in the same direction, considering Ghana's post-default sovereign status. Investors are currently pricing the continuation of discipline rather than the fact of it, with future auctions and secondary trading in the bond providing further indicators of the market's health.

Written by urgent.news from The Rio Times's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

Read the original at riotimesonline.com →

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