El Niño to persist through February 2027, impacts on UAE to extend into April
Dubai: El Niño is expected to persist through February 2027, with its impacts on the UAE extending into April, bringing near to above-average temperatures and precipitation and the potential for significant weather activity, according to the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM). In its latest seasonal forecast, the NCM said current observations showed El Niño conditions firmly established in the…
Dubai: Meteorologists anticipate the El Niño phenomenon will persist through February 2027, with its effects on the UAE extending into April. Temperatures and precipitation are expected to exceed seasonal averages, accompanied by significant weather activities, particularly in the latter stages of the forecast period. The National Centre of Meteorology (NCM) reported a 99 percent probability of El Niño continuing from October 2026 through February 2027, with a 3°C temperature anomaly indicating a very strong event.
Current readings of the Niño 3.4 index already place the phenomenon in the strong El Niño category. While El Niño itself is forecast to persist through February, its specific impacts on the UAE may continue until April 2027. This forecast strengthens earlier projections that the developing El Niño would influence UAE weather during the 2026-27 winter, potentially bringing warmer-than-usual temperatures, an earlier start to the rainy season, and periods of heavier rainfall.
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