FCNR-led rupee rally makes gold cheaper, weighs on prices

Spot gold prices have plummeted by ₹7,270 per 10 grams, or four per cent, to ₹1,54,884 in the past eight trading sessions, according to the India Bullion and Jewellers Association data. This decline is primarily due to the sharp appreciation of the rupee against the dollar, which has risen by 1 per cent to 94.49 on Friday, down from 95.35 on August 26.

The FCNR deposit, which saw a $127 billion mop-up, played a significant role in this rupee appreciation. When the rupee strengthens, the value of dollar-denominated gold decreases, making it more affordable for consumers in rupee terms. However, a sharp drop in gold prices may prompt consumers to reduce their gold purchases in anticipation of further price declines.

Domestic silver prices have also fallen by four per cent or ₹9,935 per kg to ₹2,35,456 on Friday, according to the same data. The overall footfall at jewellery stores is expected to remain steady, but average ticket size and gold volume per purchase could see a minor dip if market volatility persists. Despite the volatility, experts believe that the fall in gold prices could benefit demand during the upcoming festive season, as people continue to buy gold for weddings, festivals, and other auspicious occasions.