Job seekers are waiting for the ‘September Surge.’ Economists say there’s something behind the hype and explain why it’s a good time to apply

Job seekers are waiting for the "September Surge," a phenomenon that economists say is a good time to apply for jobs. The term was first coined in 2023 and gained attention on TikTok. According to LinkedIn's head of economics for the Americas, Kory Kantenga, September typically sees more job postings than any other time of year, peaking in the fall.

However, there is a mismatch between job postings and applications, with applications peaking between January and May. This discrepancy could benefit job seekers who continue looking later in the year.

Indeed's Job Postings Index also shows a seasonal ramp-up around Labor Day and the weeks that follow. This is when employers begin preparing for the fourth quarter and holiday season, leading to increased demand for workers in areas such as retail and transportation. However, the surge is not typically very large, as it varies from year to year.

Understanding the normal hiring calendar can provide context for job seekers who may be experiencing a tough job search. While some may stop looking for work or return to school, others may decide to persist in their search. The slow hiring pace and employers' reluctance to bring people in quickly are also factors to consider in the current labor market.