Catastrophic dangers await Burnham’s push for English devolution | Phillip Inman

Andy Burnham's push for English devolution faces significant challenges and risks, according to Phillip Inman's report. The process is expected to be messy and slow due to Whitehall's anxiety about handing over power and money. Cornwall's new deal, for instance, is likely to lack the momentum of a newly appointed mayor. The reorganized local government, with hundreds of unitary authorities, is also mired in judicial reviews, creating uncertainty over debt division among new entities.

Hertfordshire and Newcastle-under-Lyme councils have sought clarity on the government's decision, while Lincolnshire council did the same. Essex, which will be divided into five unitary authorities, initially wanted three but was overruled by Rayner. Despite these hurdles, the plan is meant to be completed by Christmas and ready for elections by May 2029.

However, the lack of academic evidence supporting the benefits of devolution is a major concern. Reform UK and the Tories might capitalize on any perceived failures. The Institute for Government also cautions that structural reforms alone do not guarantee improved services; changes in how public officials work are equally important.

Experts like Geoff Mulgan argue that devolution must address how public services are delivered and who determines outcomes. The report highlights that most successful devolution cases have been organic, not imposed. The UK's centralised history may complicate this process, making it difficult to implement. The public may also be skeptical given the track record of councils overborrowing and failing to deliver on promises.