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Volatile electorate delivers mixed results for all parties in latest polls

Recent polls carry good news and bad news for all parties – and their leaders.

Two recent federal polls, Morgan and Essential, revealed mixed results for various parties. In Morgan, Labor's vote share increased by four percentage points while the right-wing coalition saw a four-point drop. However, Essential's poll showed a two-point rise for both Labor and the right-wing coalition. Only Morgan's poll did not suggest a trend towards the right.

A New South Wales state poll, conducted by DemosAU, still favoured Labor due to the split right-wing vote and NSW's optional preferential system. In Canada, the centre-left governing Liberals won all three federal byelections, which occurred on Monday, while the Conservatives lost two seats. Canadian Liberals have maintained dominance in the polls, attributed to Donald Trump's support.

Essential poll data indicated a significant lead for the Coalition over Labor (50-45), marking their largest lead at this pollster since March 2024. The poll also showed a record low for Labor's net approval at -21, with 56% disapproving and 35% approving.

Written by urgent.news from The Conversation AU's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

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