Swiss Franc: Hot inflation and SNB path – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports the Swiss Franc (CHF) is the second-best performer today after the Japanese Yen as Swiss inflation surprised to the upside in August, reinforcing Swiss National Bank (SNB) hike expectations.
Elias Haddad of Brown Brothers Harriman highlights the Swiss Franc's (CHF) performance as it ranks second among major currencies after the Japanese Yen. This gain is attributed to Switzerland's unexpected inflation spike in August, which boosted expectations of a rate hike from the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Despite this, the market anticipates a first 25 basis points hike only by June 2027.
Haddad points out that low rates and contained inflation are currently hindering the Franc's growth over the quarter. The headline CPI increased more than expected to 0.8% year-over-year, surpassing July's 0.5% and July's 0.4%. This marks the highest inflation since September 2024, exceeding the SNB's Q3 forecast of 0.6% year-over-year.
Core CPI also exceeded expectations at 0.4% year-over-year, following four consecutive 0.3% readings. This inflationary trend poses a challenge for the CHF. The swaps curve continues to price in a first 25 basis points hike to 0.25% in June 2027. The SNB retains flexibility to keep rates at 0.00% for an extended period, as inflation remains within their target of less than 2% annually.
Written by urgent.news from FXStreet's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
This story
This is one outlet's version. Read the fullest account.
