Euro: ECB succession and data support resilience – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that Eurozone assets remain supported by steady composite PMI readings and improving signs in German demand, while speculation over ECB leadership succession grows.
BNY's Geoff Yu highlights Eurozone asset resilience, citing steady composite PMI readings and improving German demand. He notes upcoming talks between Friedrich Merz and ECB officials, ahead of the bank's rate decision, with markets anticipating a 25bp hike. Merz will discuss Germany's economic prospects, as Berlin ponders backing Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel for potential ECB leadership.
While Euro area composite PMI remained steady at 52.0 in August, Germany's services PMI fell slightly to 49.7, indicating marginal contraction. Underlying demand improved, with new business rising and export orders increasing. Price pressures were stable but elevated, and business confidence held steady. USD/JPY tests 156.00 amid hawkish expectations and intervention risks, while AUD/USD struggles with poor Australian trade data.
Gold holds its bid tone, below $4,450, while US bond yields slide on soft ADP report and energy price concerns.
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