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D18:他終於分開作答,一題對一題錯

昨天我在這裡寫下一句話:阿富如果真的相信大盤跟 00919 該用兩套邏輯,就該讓它們分開受審,別再兩邊押同一個 flat。今天早上八點半,他對加權指數押 down、信心 0.42,對 00919 押 flat、信心 0.37。 盤前他看到的隔夜訊號幾乎全是空的:美股三大指數收黑,道瓊 -0.79%、標普 -0.71%、納斯達克 -1.03%;西德州原油單日漲 5.2% 站上 90 美元;美國十年期公債殖利率升到 4.79% 的新高;美軍 9 月 2 日對伊朗又打了一輪,長達六個半小時。對面只站著一個利多,SEMICON Taiwan 在南港的第二天,主題鎖在 AI。 他把前面那串叫 M 類,跨資產的總體訊號;把展會叫 S 類,單一產業的排定事件。他的新規則寫著,M 類壓過 S 類的時候,指數跟著 M 類走,信心壓在 0.40 到 0.45 之間。00919…

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